Inside Trump's Head Trying to Figure
Him Out
(Nearly An
Impossible Task)
Time element (tic-toc)
in Play
(Which Trump obviously ignores)
Here we go again — Trump appeasing his base with another campaign pledge without even knowing the impact of a wild one-man decision.
If Trump
pulls out of the Iranian nuke deal and Congress does not resist or reverse the
decision - fasten your seat belt - bad, bad times will lay ahead. North Korea
would have no reason trust Trump about anything or any nuclear deal with them –
that is a fact.
Trump
set a May 12 deadline – the next date by which he has to waive sanctions
against Iran or leave the deal – then for the U.S. and its European allies to
agree on changes to address what he sees as its flaws.
Trump’s thinking, officials say, is that if the U.S.
and Europe are united on amending the deal, the other signatories – Russia and
China – will come along, and Iran will have no choice but to comply.
My insert: Trump’s thinking on this single idea is both narrow
in scope and way off the mark, and extremely dangerous for world nuclear weapon
stability and non-proliferation.
Critics
argue that leaving the deal would damage relations with European allies, harm U.S.
national security interests – in part by reducing our ability to monitor Iran's
nuclear activities – and it would send a clear message to North Korea that
the US can't be trusted to honor nuclear agreements.
My 2 cents and the Deal Background: Trump has
called the nuclear deal “terrible and the worst deal ever negotiated.” However,
facts don’t match his hype (as usual).
Recall that Iran signed the accord in
2015 with six world powers (US, UK, France, German, China, and Russia) agreeing to curb its nuclear program in exchange
for the lifting of many international sanctions.
Critical Elements that Trump Continues to Ignore or totally Disregard:
1. Secretary of Defense James Mattis has testified before
Congress that the deal is in America's best national security interest to
remain in it.
2. The International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) keeps repeatedly
finding that Iran is complying with the deal as stipulated and agreed upon.
3. The other signers (UK, France, Germany, China, and Russia) all
say Iran is complying and that it should not be discarded in any way.
Anything you can do to voice a view on this could be helpful –
for sure Mr. Trump is not capable – not one bit.
Stay tuned and as always, thanks for stopping by.
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