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Update & Impact of Reopening Early:
The headline
from here:
As states push ahead
with reopening, CDC warns coronavirus cases and deaths are set to soar
The story: As nearly half of the states begin
to ease restrictions that were put in place to slow the spread of the
coronavirus, the CDC is quietly projecting a stark rise in the number of new
cases of the virus and deaths from it over the next month and they have modeled
their chart in conjunction with FEMA (copy circulated within the administration
and copy obtained by the New York Times).
That model: It projects 200,000 new daily cases
of the coronavirus by the end of May and 3,000
daily deaths in the U.S. Presently, some 25,000 new cases are reported each
day and roughly 1,750 deaths.
Without
disputing the accuracy of the modeling used by the CDC, the White House quickly
distanced itself from the projections with this crazy-ass Trump lackey designed
statement from W/H deputy press
secretary Judd Deere who said: “This
data is not reflective of any of the modeling done by the task force or data
that the task force has analyzed. The president’s phased guidelines to open up
America again are a scientific-driven approach that the top healt
Despite the
growing risk of exposure and death from COVID-19, many states are proceeding
with a relaxation of restrictions that were meant to slow the spread of the
virus. Those moves in states like Georgia and Texas do not follow the phased
federal guidelines issued by Trump’s coronavirus task force on April 16.
Those guidelines
were announced at a W/H press briefing where Trump proclaimed: “…now that we have passed the peak in new
cases, we’re starting our life again, we’re starting rejuvenation of our
economy again, in a safe and structured and very responsible fashion.”
Early impact: Ironically, there were 32,076 new cases
in the U.S. on that same day, a number that has been exceeded on at least four
days since that statement – which is classic Trump – dumber than a door knob
and not apt to follow any sound medical advice – just Trump’s hunches and “feelings.”
While the
implementation was left to the discretion of state governors, the guidelines
were clear that no state should attempt to ease restrictions until it had
observed a “downward trajectory” of new cases of the virus over a 14-day
period. Yet, no state could make that claim to date.
Task Force Opinion: On “Fox News Sunday,” anchor Chris
Wallace pressed Dr. Deborah Birx, one of the leading health experts on the
coronavirus task force, on that point and he
asked her: “Not a single state has
met the White House gating guidelines of two weeks of steady decline in new
cases. Are you concerned about this patchwork reopening, and why leave it up to
the governors? Why not set a firm, if not binding, a firm national policy on
when states can reopen?”
Dr. Birx said: “Well,
I think federal guidelines are pretty firm policy of what we think is important
from a public health standpoint. We also made it possible for states to open
counties independently of the entire state, because, again, some of these
outbreaks are very local and have to be studied and understood that way.”
Reopening
the country without ramping up testing, building an army of contact tracers, or
having a plan in place to isolate those who test positive for the virus is
certain to result in a spike of new cases, numerous health experts have warned.
Yet at least 26 states intend to test that prediction, many of them starting
this week.
Unpleasant examples: GA became the first state to lift
coronavirus restrictions when Gov. Brian Kemp (R) announced on April 20 that he
would allow businesses like massage and tattoo parlors, hair salons, gyms, and
bowling alleys to reopen on April 24. He then loosened more restrictions,
allowing restaurants and theaters to reopen.
Before his
announcement, Kemp informed Trump of his decision on a conference call between
the president and the nation’s governors. On that call, Trump was heard
praising Kemp for doing a “great job.”
But after
Kemp was sharply criticized for lifting the state’s restrictions too soon,
Trump said he was unhappy with the governor, adding: “I want them to open, and
I want him to open as soon as possible. And I want the state to open. But I
wasn’t happy with Brian Kemp. I will tell you that right now.”
Fallout from GA: Since moving to reopen the state,
Georgia has continued to see a high number of new cases, with 1,000 reported on
Friday and another 999 on Saturday. Despite the new data, Kemp let his
shelter-in-place restriction for residents expire on Monday.
As this public health experiment has taken place, the
risk of exposure to the virus for Georgia citizens has risen by 42 percent.
Similarly worrying figures have been
reported in Texas, where Gov. Greg Abbott (R) lifted stay-at-home orders last weekend. In a tweet
posted Sunday, the governor sought to emphasize what he saw as a bit of good
news about the number of people in the state who have recovered from COVID-19.
My 2 cents: Based on this new data, which is extremely
depressing, and the state actions to reopen and armed protests in places like
Lansing, MI, the situation is now very ugly and some predict at bad as or maybe
worse
than the 1918 Spanish Flu – that pandemic killed some 50 million
worldwide and 675,000 in the U.S.
That new alone is some scary stuff to say the least at
this point in time that we now face.
Yet, Trump
contends to this very day that he is not: (1) a PPE supply clerk, (2) it will
go away like a miracle, (3) 100,000 deaths is somehow tolerable, and (4) perhaps
consider a Lysol or Clorox and orange juice cocktail in the evening, we suppose
(or at least he implied).
The man is so far out of touch we need to pipe air to
him. Still to this day also he takes his best advice from “boy genius” and son-in-law
Jared Kushner who couldn’t scratch his own ass with a hand-full of fishhooks.
Thanks for stopping by.
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