Thursday, April 20, 2023

GOP Heading for Debt Abyss: Their Way or No Way With More and More Harmful Cuts

No deal with Biden except my way or the highway
(Our bills now due; need future cuts first)

This is an update on my earlier post seen here.

The W/H and OPM rips McCarthy budget and debt ceiling plan this way as reported on from The AP with this headline:

“WH analysis of GOP deficit plan: job losses, poorer kids”

White House budget director (OMB) Shalanda Young concludes in a draft of an analysis:There is no escaping the pain to working families and our economic future.” Young's analysis is an effort to explain those possible consequences, though McCarthy anticipated the criticism by telling a Wall Street audience on Monday:Don’t believe anyone who says our plans hurt Americans' social safety net. We are a very generous nation. And when people fall on tough times, we'll help them.”

WASHINGTON (AP) — The White House says the math in GOP House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's plan to trim the federal deficit is “unforgiving with estimated 22% of deep cuts to non-defense spending that would leave children poorer, veterans sicker, families hungrier, and housing more expensive.

President Biden and GOP lawmakers are engaged in a tense showdown over federal finances. GOP House Speaker McCarthy (R-CA) insists on spending cuts as a condition to raise the government's legal borrowing authority while  Biden wants to keep budget talks separate from the critical debt limit action.

1. The GOP is betting that the public supports smaller government.

2. Conversely, the White House's strategy is premised on the resulting cuts being unpopular once the consequences are understood.

3. McCarthy had criticized President Biden for avoiding a sit-down talk (Biden offered his plan and told McCarthy:Now show me yours.”)

McCarthy unveiled his GOP plan wherein he says it will trim more than $4 trillion from deficits over the next decade, largely by freezing discretionary spending at the 2022 levels and increasing them by just 1% a year thereafter.

Recall that in his “State of the Union” address in January that Mr. Biden indicated he would engage in form of talks as soon as and once the Republicans laid out their budget proposal.

Director Young argues in her analysis that McCarthy's budget caps mask the full extent of the likely cuts, and that they would compound over time in ways that she said would harm millions of U.S. households.

The White House's own budget proposal offers nearly $3 trillion in deficit savings, mainly through higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations.

Young writes in the draft:The legislation Congressional Republicans have drafted is designed to avoid leveling with the American people about how these cuts would impact their lives. This bill is vague by design — but that doesn’t obscure the fact that it will force devastating cuts that will hurt millions of people, damage our economy and undermine our national security.”

By not spelling out specific cuts, Republicans are able to potentially minimize a backlash to their plan. McCarthy's proposal would raise the debt ceiling by $1.5 trillion into March 2024 in exchange for a long list of Republican priorities:

1. A 1% limit to future spending increases.

2. Guts Biden’s signature climate change funds.

3. Cancels up to $20,000 per person in student loan forgiveness.

4. Imposes work requirements and raises age to get government assistance (e.g., cutting SNAP: formerly food stamp program, and WIC: aid designed especially for women and children).

The president and Congress need to reach some sort of agreement on raising the $31 trillion debt cap this summer, when and before the “extraordinary steps taken by the Treasury Department would be exhausted and the government could default on its payments” (on bills due and need to be paid).

Given that Republicans have indicated that they will protect defense spending. Director Young estimates that domestic programs would be cut by 22% under the GOP plan. Social Security and Medicare — programs expected to drive up the national debt long term — are shielded from any reductions.

At that reduced level of funding, there would be:

1. 30 million fewer veteran outpatient visits.

2. 81,000 jobs lost across the VA.

3. The GOP cuts would be borne by 25 million students in schools that teach poorer children; students with disabilities; and all that could lead to the loss of 108,000 teacher and classroom aide jobs.

4. Fewer than 200,000 fewer children enrolled in Head Start.

5. Some 180,000 would lose access to child care.

6. Roughly 1.7 million women, infants, and children (WIC) would lose vital nutrition assistance through the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program (SNAP).

7. More than a million seniors would lose access to food programs such as “Meals on Wheels.”

8. There would be 630,000 poorer families who would lose their access to housing vouchers.

9. And just months after a Norfolk Southern train derailment in Ohio led to GOP criticism of the Biden administration, there would be 7,000 fewer rail safety inspections, the analysis contends.

Same story other related sources:

1. Biden rejects McCarthy’s debt-limit plan

2. Biden slams McCarthy, tells him to “take default off the table” in debt ceiling debate

3. Centrists float fallback plan if Biden-McCarthy debt limit talks falter

My 2 Cents: McCarthy’s GOP plan is in a word: No plan, and this part stated above certainly irks him and the entire GOP base about the White House budget proposal: “It offers nearly $3 trillion in deficit savings, mainly through higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations.”

The GOP hates higher or most taxes on the upper class – a known fact, cite the 2017 Trump tax cut that favored the top earners and many in Congress – cite this from VOX.com at the time:

As part of that tax cut bill, Republicans approved tax breaks for seven classes of assets many of the wealthier members of Congress held at the time, including partnerships, small corporations, real estate, and several esoteric investment vehicles.

While they sold the bill as a package of business and middle-class tax cuts that would not help the wealthy, the cuts likely saved members of Congress hundreds of thousands of dollars in taxes collectively, while the corporate tax cut hiked the value of their holdings.”

Yep the same old, same old GOP – they never give up on helping the top rung, and now the same old top rung. I wonder why (wink, wink) how about we call it the “I’ll scratch you back, you give to my PAC.” For our reelection – kind of a legal, sort of, quid pro quo, right? Okey dokey, then. Just that simple.

Now here we are again at the juncture of raising the national debt ceiling / or defaulting on bills already due. 

Thanks for stopping by.


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